Biya regime faces 2027-2029 budget financing gap without new IMF Program
Cameroon plans to secure CFA300 billion in budget support in 2027 through a new economic and financial program with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Although the funding remains conditional, the government has already incorporated it into its financing plan for next year’s budget, which projects total financing needs of CFA3.1615 trillion.
The projections appear in the 2027-2029 Medium-Term Economic and Budget Programming Document (DPEB) prepared by the Ministry of Finance and submitted to Parliament during the annual budget orientation debate.
The expected IMF-related budget support would account for 9.5% of Cameroon’s projected financing requirements in 2027.
The government’s financing framework also includes CFA866.7 billion in project loan disbursements, CFA400 billion from domestic bond issuances, CFA250 billion in direct bank financing and CFA131.5 billion from state reserves held at the Bank of Central African States (BEAC).
In addition, the government plans to raise CFA1 trillion through a new external borrowing operation after scheduling a financing exercise of the same size in 2026.
Government Identifies Major Fiscal Risk
The government no longer considers a new IMF program merely as an option. Instead, it has made the program a central assumption in its medium-term fiscal framework.
The DPEB states that “the financing of the 2027 to 2029 budgets depends on the expected budget support resulting from the conclusion of a new Economic and Financial Program with the IMF.”
The document also describes the absence of such an agreement as a “major risk” to the medium-term sustainability of public finances.
The government projects an overall budget deficit of CFA1.018 trillion for 2027, up from CFA808.5 billion in 2026. Consequently, the CFA300 billion in conditional IMF-related budget support would cover nearly 30% of the projected deficit.
Moreover, Cameroon expects financing and treasury requirements of CFA2.1435 trillion, largely driven by debt repayments and arrears clearance. Financial debt repayments alone would total CFA1.6025 trillion.
If Cameroon fails to conclude a new IMF program, the government would need to replace the expected CFA300 billion through additional borrowing, stronger domestic revenue mobilization, larger withdrawals from government cash reserves or spending cuts.
That scenario would emerge in an already challenging financing environment.
The Ministry of Finance noted that borrowing costs in the domestic market have increased, interest rates remain elevated and the local financial market still lacks sufficient depth. Those constraints reduce the government’s ability to replace concessional or relatively low-cost budget support with alternative financing.
Finance Ministry Says IMF Programs Mobilized CFA2.6 Trillion Since 2017
Finance Minister Louis Paul Motazé had already defended the renewal of Cameroon’s partnership with the IMF during a Cabinet meeting on Oct. 30, 2025. The previous IMF program, agreed in 2021 and later extended by one year, expired in July 2025.
According to Motazé, the two successive IMF-supported programs implemented between 2017 and 2025 enabled Cameroon to mobilize about CFA2.6 trillion in budget support from the IMF and other development partners.
“We would no longer receive these resources if we failed to conclude a new program with the IMF. That means we would have to find alternative sources of financing. That is why we believe it is necessary to begin discussions on a new agreement,” Louis Paul Motazé said.
The financing associated with an IMF program does not come solely from the Washington-based institution.
An IMF agreement also serves as a policy signal for the World Bank, the African Development Bank, the European Union and bilateral development partners, which may condition their financial support on the implementation of reforms and compliance with macroeconomic targets.
Accordingly, the government views the future IMF program as a tool to facilitate access to financing, preserve debt sustainability and create additional fiscal space for public investment.
Nevertheless, the DPEB does not rely exclusively on IMF support to strengthen public finances.
The government’s strategy also aims to broaden the non-oil tax base, modernize revenue collection agencies and rationalize current expenditure in favor of priority public investment.
Regional Approval Remains a Prerequisite
In October 2025, Prime Minister Joseph Dion Ngute referred the decision to launch IMF negotiations to the Presidency of the Republic.
However, the explicit inclusion of a new IMF program in the DPEB shows that the government now considers such an agreement as the central scenario underpinning its fiscal strategy.
That does not mean Cameroon has already secured a deal.
The government must still negotiate macroeconomic objectives, structural reforms, fiscal measures, financing conditions and any prior actions with IMF staff before the institution’s Executive Board can consider a new program.
In addition, the process depends on developments within the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC).
Under the regional framework, IMF-supported national programs require regional policy assurances, particularly regarding monetary policy, foreign exchange reserves and the consistency of member states’ fiscal policies.
According to the authorities, the review of CEMAC’s common policies, initially scheduled for December 2025, has been delayed because national fiscal policies have not yet aligned sufficiently with the regional strategy and because member states have not finalized the policy assurances accompanying the reform agenda.
Although regional approval remains a prerequisite, it will not automatically trigger a new IMF program for Cameroon.
Yaoundé must also negotiate a separate agreement with the IMF on its own macroeconomic and fiscal framework.
For the government, the timetable has become increasingly important.
By already incorporating CFA300 billion in conditional budget support into its 2027 financing plan, Cameroon has made a future IMF agreement one of the foundations of its fiscal strategy. If negotiations fail to conclude on time, the government will have to bridge the financing gap through additional debt issuance, spending adjustments or greater reliance on treasury resources.
Source: Business in Cameroon









